导语

  

内容提要

  

    《模糊集果壳论和气候建模》从曹鸿兴及其与合作者300余篇文章中精选出26篇作为书的主体，另加论著目录、个人年表等。
    论文按其学术属性，分为八个方面：模糊集论及其气象应用、天气分析和天气动力学、气候动力学和气候模拟、大气非线性和可预报性、数理统计和预报、人工智能预报和灰色建模、动力系统自忆性原理、界壳论及其应用。

前言
1  模糊集论及其气象应用
Fuzzy Sets Theory and Its Applications to Meteorology
  Some Applications of Fuzzy Sets tO Meteorological Forecasting
  A Technique for Verification of Weather Forecast and Climate Simulation With Fuzzy Sets
2  天气分析和天气动力学
Weather Analysis and Weather Dynamics
论台风的形成
中国梅雨期间50 hPa极地反气旋活动的初步研究
  Spiral Structure in the Atmosphere Investigated from Periphery（Jieke）Theory
3  气候动力学和气候模拟
Climate Dynamics and Climate Simulation
  Climate Effects of Nuclear War in China
  Simulated Seasonal Movement of Precipitation Zone in Rainy Season over China and its Change on C02Doubling
  Climate Modeling in View of NonEquilibrium Thermodynamics
  Simulated Diurnal Range and Variability of Surface Temperature in a Global Climate Model for Present and Doubled C02 Climates
4  大气非线性和可预报性
Atmospheric Nonlinearity and Predictability
  Nonlinear Behaviour of Model Climate in Semi——Dynamical System
  Nonlinearity with Memory in Climate Model
  大气的不可预报性
5  数理统计和预报
Mathematical Statistics and Forecast
  Statistic—Dynamic Weather Forecasting Treated as a Problem of Solving Random Difference Equations
  估计模型维度的双评分准则及其应用
  Time Series Model of Long。Range Prediction and Its Application
6  人工智能预报和灰色建模
Artificial Intelligence Prediction and Grey Modeling
  关于研制自预报机的建议
  Mathematical Modelling of Subjective Weather Forecasting
  A New Calculating Scheme for Grey Modeling
7  动力系统自忆性原理
Selfmemorization Principle of Dynamic System
  SelfMemorization Equation in Atmospheric Motion
  Prediction of Precipitation in Summer with SelfMemorial Dynamic Model
  Improving Weather Forecast in View of Atmospheric History
  Investigation into Special Relativistic Equation on the Basis of Self—retrospection Principle
  附文关于“多时刻预报模式”的讨论
8  界壳论及其应用
Periphery Theory and Its Applications
  界壳现象及其学术框架
  Modelling of a System Boundary
  界壳之量化及其应用
附录
  附录1  学术著作目录
  附录2  个人年表
  附录3  随笔